Market observation period: 6 August – 6 September 2026. Every figure in this article carries a dated source, listed at the end. Facts, interpretations and scenarios are clearly separated. On September 1, 2026, a number appeared on bond screens in Tokyo that had not been seen in thirty years. Japan’s 10-year government bond yield crossed 3 percent (Reuters, September 1, 2026). The last time this benchmark stood at that level was September 1996. T…
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