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US likely added nearly 100,000 jobs in July, but market is still tough for young and unemployed

Economists say low layoffs and a smaller labor force are masking weaker hiring for jobseekers, with July payroll gains expected near 98,000.

  • On Friday, the Labor Department released July employment data showing hiring picked up with the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.2%, signaling a resilient labor market.
  • Economists describe current conditions as a "no hire, no fire" state, where firms retain staff through uncertainty while a shrinking labor force reduces competition for available positions.
  • Job changers pocketed a 7% raise last month, significantly outpacing the 4.4% increase for workers who stayed in their roles, according to data from payroll processor ADP.
  • Federal Reserve officials will evaluate the employment figures next week at their policy meeting to determine whether to adjust interest rates currently positioned in a 3.5% to 3.75% range.
  • Broader outlooks remain complicated by Persian Gulf tensions driving up energy costs and the rising influence of artificial intelligence, which could either enhance worker productivity or displace jobs.
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  • 54% of the sources are Center
54% Center

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InvestingCube broke the news on Thursday, August 6, 2026.
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