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NOAA Updates Its 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast After Below-Average Start
NOAA said El Niño-driven wind shear and only two named storms so far have lowered its forecast to 7 to 13 named storms.
- The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration raised its probability of a below-normal Atlantic hurricane season to 75 percent, maintaining its prediction for the remainder of the year.
- Forecasters attribute the forecast change to strengthening El Niño conditions, which increase wind shear and typically prevent tropical storms from forming or strengthening in the Atlantic.
- NOAA dropped its predicted named storms to between seven and 13, with a 20% chance of a near-normal season and only a 5% chance of an above-normal season.
- To date, the 2026 season has produced two named tropical storms, Arthur and Bertha, both in the Gulf; however, up to two major hurricanes with winds starting at 111 mph remain possible.
- Last week, AccuWeather maintained its forecast of eight to 14 named storms, while Colorado State University researchers further reduced their projections on Wednesday as the season continues through Nov.
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NOAA maintains 'below-normal' Florida hurricane forecast
Lowering its number of anticipated storms, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration maintained that storm activity for the remainder of the Atlantic hurricane season will continue to be “below-normal.” NOAA updated its estimate, raising the chance of below-normal activity from 55 percent, when its initial forecast was made in May, to 75 percent. The change […] The post NOAA maintains ‘below-normal’ Florida hurricane forecast appeared …
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ECB Publishing, Inc.Don’t get fooled by current calm, hurricane experts warn
Weather forecasters are cautioning Floridians not to be lulled into complacency by the apparent slow start of the 2026 Atlantic season, noting that its most active phase will likely occur between mid-August...
·Madison, United States
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Total News Sources15
Leaning Left3Leaning Right0Center9Last UpdatedBias Distribution75% Center
Bias Distribution
- 75% of the sources are Center
75% Center
L 25%
C 75%
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