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'Super' El Niño May Be Strongest Since 1950. When Will It Peak, Hit the US?

National forecasters said the chance of a highest-strength El Niño is above 90%, with a 69% chance it becomes the strongest since 1950.

  • On Thursday, the Climate Prediction Center reported that odds of this year's El Niño reaching 'super' strength are now higher than 90 percent, marking a sharp escalation from May forecasts.
  • Both El Niño and its counterpart typically reach peak strength during winter months, with a 69 percent chance this year's event becomes the strongest since 1950, likely peaking between October and December.
  • When it reaches peak strength, the phenomenon has its largest impact on North America, bringing a wetter winter to the southern half while the Ohio Valley typically experiences warmer, dry weather.
  • High-Tide flooding may be a bigger problem on the West Coast during El Niño years, according to the National Weather Service, while harmful algae have thrived in these waters and Atlantic storms are typically suppressed.
  • Stronger outcomes are not guaranteed, but the Climate Prediction Center indicated El Niño likely lasts into early 2027 as the phenomenon keeps building strength through year-end.
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25 Articles

Left

Meteorologist Jeff Berardelli jumps up to point out the curve of the upcoming El Niño – it extends so high above all previous El Niño phenomena. But that kind of effect search is actually superfluous. The forecasts speak for themselves – we are taking a time trip into the future. And unfortunately, the phenomenon can strike at the absolute worst time.

·Stockholm, Sweden
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Lean Left

Two months after the start of an active hurricane season, Martinique, Guadeloupe and the other islands of the Caribbean Archipelago suffer from abnormally high temperatures and water shortages that affect human activities.

·Paris, France
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Lean Left

The climate phenomenon El Niño, synonymous with droughts, floods and record temperatures in the world, could become one of the most intense ever recorded at the end of the year. Experts warn that the usual temperature of the Pacific Ocean could rise by 2.5°C. The Spanish media RTVE is looking back at its expected consequences for autumn and winter.

Lean Right

After a summer of extreme heat, forest fires and drought in Europe, the question is what to expect this fall. Now the weather phenomenon El Niño has begun and is making the world's oceans record warm. According to researchers, this year's round could be the strongest ever.

·Stockholm, Sweden
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meneame.net broke the news on Thursday, August 13, 2026.
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