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Japan headline inflation rate hits highest this year as energy prices bite

The inflation reading strengthens expectations that the Bank of Japan will raise rates in September as firms pass on higher import and energy costs.

  • On Friday, Japan's core consumer price index rose 1.8% in July, matching median forecasts and signaling persistent price pressures across the economy.
  • The U.S.-Israeli war on Iran and a weak yen combined to push up import costs, driving renewed price pressures from energy markets.
  • Service-Sector inflation climbed to 1.2% in July, while goods prices rose 2.7%, reflecting firms passing rising labor costs to consumers amid tight job markets.
  • The Bank of Japan will scrutinize this data at its September 17–18 policy meeting, where economists widely expect a rate hike to 1.25%.
  • Masato Koike, senior economist at Sompo Institute Plus, expects core inflation to "re-accelerate" amid Middle East tensions, anticipating the BOJ will proceed with September rate hikes.
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High import costs and a weak yen affect consumers. Experts assume that currency keepers will raise the key interest rate from one percent to 1.25 percent.

·Düsseldorf, Germany
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Reuters broke the news in London, United Kingdom on Thursday, August 20, 2026.
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