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Brazil Cuts 2026 Trade Surplus Forecast by over $5 Billion

Brazil cuts 2026 trade surplus forecast by over $5 billion Soybeans and beef among drivers of export growth

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The Ministry of Development, Industry, Trade and Services (Mdic) reduced its projection for the Brazilian trade balance in 2026 this Tuesday. The new forecast is of surplus of US$84.4 billion (R$420.3 billion). In July, the ministry expected a balance of US$90 billion (R$449.2 billion). Despite the review down, the result would still be 24% stronger than that of 2025, when the country had surplus of US$68.1 billion. The change originates in the …

·Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
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The government reduced the Brazilian trade balance surplus forecast by 2026 from $90 billion to $84.4 billion [...]

The drop in oil price projections caused the government to reduce the forecast for the Brazilian trade surplus in 2026 from US$90 billion to US$84.4 billion. Despite the cut, the result projected by the Ministry of Development, Industry, Trade and Services (Mdic) still represents a high of 24% compared to the surplus recorded in 2025. Related news:Trade balance has surplus of US$7.74 billion in September.Public accounts have a deficit of R$10 bi…

·Quadra, Brazil
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Initially, MDIC projected that the trade surplus would be within the range of $70 billion to $90 billion this year.

The Ministry of Development, Industry, Trade and Services (MDIC) reduced on Tuesday its projection for the Brazilian trade balance result in 2026 to a surplus of US$ 84.4 billion, against the forecast made in July of balance of US$ 90.0 billion. Despite the review down, the result would still be 24% stronger than [...]

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Folha de S.Paulo broke the news in São Paulo, Brazil on Tuesday, October 6, 2026.
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