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Global Diesel Crunch Worsens Ahead of Peak Winter Demand

Record U.S. exports and refinery outages are draining inventories, with Europe’s diesel prices up 40% since mid-June, Bloomberg reported.

  • Global diesel supplies tightened on Thursday as the United States hit a record export rate of 1.9 million barrels per day in early August amid mounting production disruptions.
  • Russia's export ban following Ukrainian drone strikes removed 10% of seaborne supplies, while persistent Middle Eastern refinery disruptions remain 'physically impaired, logistically stranded, or operationally unable to restart with confidence.'
  • AAA data shows the average U.S. price reached $5.32 per gallon, up 44 cents over the last month, while European diesel prices surged 40% since mid-June.
  • Energy Aspects founder Amrita Sen said, 'Diesel is the tightest market right now,' as analysts warn the situation could worsen this winter with supply locked due to ongoing conflicts.
  • The Energy Information Administration forecasts retail prices averaging $4.85 per gallon in 2026, up from $4.61, and raised its 2027 forecast average to $4.07, up from $4.02.
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After attacks on refineries in Russia and Saudi Arabia, there is a shortage of quantities on the world market. This caused the profit margins of European refineries at Diesel to rise by ten percent. Domestic motorists could thus soon again face higher prices. Once again, the current wars are likely to have a direct impact on Austria. As is well known, Ukraine attacked one of the largest oil refineries in Russia on Monday – and the pro-Iranian Hu…

·Vienna, Austria
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Kitco NEWS broke the news on Monday, August 10, 2026.
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