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Bank of England Expected to Keep Interest Rates Unchanged Despite Rising Inflation

  • On Thursday, the Bank of England is expected to keep interest rates on hold at 3.75%, though investors are watching for any hint that surging energy prices might force it to follow the U.S. Federal Reserve's recent borrowing cost increase.
  • British natural gas and Brent crude futures have surged 20% this month, threatening to push inflation further above the Bank's 2% target, which the central bank has missed in all but three months of the last five years.
  • Financial data shows the average five-year fixed mortgage rate at 5.83%, while most economists polled by Reuters last week expected the Bank to maintain the 3.75% rate through year-end.
  • The Telegraph reported Tuesday that the Bank may cease sales of 20-year and 30-year gilts, a shift that could offer fiscal room for Finance Minister John Healey ahead of his October 28 budget statement.
  • Financial markets currently point to an 80% chance of a rate hike in November, with analysts from investment banking firm Evercore ISI stating that "Nowhere is the gap between market pricing and policymaker expectations more stark than in the UK.
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Lean Right

Markets were highly likely to decline in this scenario, as inflation, although high, remains below the principal interest, currently at 3.75%.

·Lisboa, Portugal
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Lean Right

The Bank of England (BoE, the central bank of the United Kingdom) maintained the interest rate unchanged, at 3.75% to the same rate, in line with market consensus. The decision was divided, with three votes for a high of 0.25 percentage point (p.p.) and six for a maintenance. The monetary authority, however, acknowledges that inflationary risks are tilted upwards. Subject matter exclusive to subscribers. To have full access, access the link of t…

·Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
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Reuters broke the news in London, United Kingdom on Wednesday, September 16, 2026.
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