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UK pay growth slows to 3.9% before crunch interest rates decision

Average weekly earnings rose 3.5% while vacancies fell to 702,000, reinforcing signs of a cooling labor market before the Bank of England decision.

  • On Tuesday in LONDON, official data showed Britain's unemployment rate remained steady at 4.9% in the three months to July, days before a Bank of England interest rate announcement.
  • Average weekly earnings, excluding bonuses, grew by 3.5% for the three months to July compared with the same period in 2025, The ONS reported, matching economist forecasts.
  • Job vacancies fell to 702,000 from 706,000 in the three months to August, marking the lowest reading since April 2021; small businesses cited high employment costs as a constraint.
  • Investors on Monday priced a roughly one-in-three chance of a quarter-point rate hike by The BoE on Thursday, reflecting market expectations ahead of the decision.
  • The BoE is monitoring how energy prices driven by the Iran war affect inflation, while the Monetary Policy Committee faces expectations of rate hikes in November and December.
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WTVB broke the news on Tuesday, September 15, 2026.
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