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World Bank Raises India FY27 Growth Forecast to 7.1%, Flags Oil, El Niño Risks

The World Bank cited stronger April-June growth and said India’s industry and services momentum will offset weaker farm output and higher food inflation.

  • On Tuesday, The World Bank raised India's fiscal 2026-27 growth forecast to 7.1% from 6.6%, while lifting South Asia's 2026 GDP growth forecast to 6.9% from 6.3%.
  • Upgrades followed stronger-than-expected domestic activity, with India's economy growing 7.8% in the April-June quarter, prompting the Asian Development Bank and Fitch Ratings to raise their own forecasts.
  • The Reserve Bank of India is expected to vote for a 25-basis-point rate increase on Wednesday, even as higher energy prices and El Niño conditions pose mounting risks to the outlook.
  • World Bank Chief Asia Economist Franziska Ohnsorge warned that demographic tailwinds are 'beginning to fade,' with working-age population growth dropping to 0.6% over the next 25 years.
  • While Indian companies are catching up on AI adoption, only 23% report using the technology compared to 43% of American firms, prompting the bank to urge acceleration for sustaining growth.
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Indian Express broke the news in Noida, India on Tuesday, October 6, 2026.
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