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Russia's Grip Weakens In The South Caucasus, Opening Doors To New Players
ARMENIA AND AZERBAIJAN, JUL 14 – Armenia and Azerbaijan continue negotiations on a transit corridor with potential U.S. oversight to ensure security and sovereignty, following a 2020 ceasefire and a 2023 offensive.
- A meeting last week in the UAE gathered Ilham Aliyev and Pashinyan, where they agreed to continue bilateral engagements.
- Long-Standing tensions since 1991 over Nagorno-Karabakh have led to recent talks, as Armenia and Azerbaijan reached a March consensus on 17 peace articles, ending decades of conflict.
- One hurdle is that removing Karabakh references from Armenia’s constitution requires a nationwide referendum, revealing a core dispute and additional political complexity.
- For the first time, Russia’s peacekeepers began withdrawing soon after the 2023 assault, and Moscow is now sidelined from mediating the Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict.
- This third-party guarantee would establish the US as security overseer in the region, creating a long-term American presence near Iran.
17 Articles
17 Articles
While Russia remains preoccupied with the war in Ukraine, its influence is waning along its southern border, particularly in Armenia and Azerbaijan. This shift in the balance of power opens the door for other actors, including Turkey, the European Union and the United States, to expand their presence in the region, analysts told Radio Free Europe (RFE).
The prospects for peace between Azerbaijan and Armenia are weakened by Russian influence.
Radio Free Europe/ RadioLiberty
Russia's Grip Weakens In The South Caucasus, Opening Doors To New Players
As Russia remains preoccupied with its war in Ukraine, its influence is weakening along its southern border, particularly in Armenia and Azerbaijan. Analysts told RFE/RL that this vacuum may create opportunities for other players, such as Turkey, the EU, and the US, to influence the region.
Will Washington close the Armenia-Azerbaijan deal? - Washington Examiner
This week, the leaders of Armenia and Azerbaijan met face to face for the first time. Their mission: finalizing a peace agreement reached in principle in March. “Armenia and Azerbaijan could strike a peace deal pretty soon,” U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio said ahead of the leaders’ recent meeting. For the first time in decades, Moscow finds itself sidelined from mediating a conflict it once dominated. This has created an opening for America…
In connection with the recent heightened conflict between Russia and Azerbaijan, political observer Acop Badalian explained that there was a commonality between the escalation of Baku-Erevan relations with Moscow. "I may differ, but I do not personally see any synchronic process, especially a coordinated one. In Armenian-Russian relations, the wave system has been in existence for a long time. At least the last three years. In Russian-Azerbaijan…
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