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Why war in northern Ethiopia and Eritrea is unlikely – for now

Summary by Martin Plaut
Recent speculation regarding a potential war in Northern Ethiopia and Eritrea is growing, though immediate conflict seems unlikely. The Ethiopian government lacks military resources for another front, and Tigray’s leadership isn’t incentivized to initiate war. International pressure discourages renewed conflict, making a return to a “no war, no peace” status quo more plausible. Source: Addis Standard by Rene Lefort Addis Abeba – In recent weeks,…
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Martin Plaut broke the news in on Saturday, August 9, 2025.
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