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Don’t Expect Trump to Make a Deal with Iran’s New Leader Any Time Soon

Mojtaba Khamenei's appointment reflects hardline, security-driven leadership with strong IRGC ties, reducing top-level power struggles and limiting reformist influence, experts say.

  • On March 9, 2026, Mojtaba Khamenei was chosen as Iran's new Supreme Leader following the death of Ali Khamenei, amid public gatherings in Tehran, Iran.
  • Security-Aligned networks and clerical promotions explain Mojtaba Khamenei’s rise, with his 2022 ayatollah promotion and long service inside the Office of the Supreme Leader signaling grooming and IRGC ties.
  • Observers note Mojtaba built authority quietly inside the Office of the Supreme Leader and influenced the state broadcasting organization, controlling key parts of Iran's information landscape.
  • Senior Iranian officials vowed to continue fighting amid the widening conflict, while Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and the defense council issued pledges of loyalty shortly after the announcement, with unrest likely met by swift repression.
  • Longer-Term, the choice suggests dynastic overtones and increased securitisation, likely favoring Iran's political institutions and IRGC influence over revolutionary ideals.
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Bias Distribution

  • 44% of the sources lean Right
44% Right

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The Independent broke the news in London, United Kingdom on Monday, March 9, 2026.
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