Makerfield by-Election Polling: What to Look Out For
Survation and other constituency polls show Burnham leading by 5 to 12 points as questions grow over right-wing vote splitting and poll reliability.
- On Thursday, June 18, 2026, voters in Makerfield head to the polls for a by-election that could trigger a Labour leadership contest between Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham and Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer.
- Former Labour MP Josh Simons triggered the by-election by resigning on May 14, stating the government had "overseen the managed decline of towns like mine" and arguing Burnham could provide the "urgent, radical, brave reform we need."
- Trailing the Labour frontrunner by 10 points in recent polling, Reform UK candidate Robert Kenyon faces Burnham in the contest, while other parties including the Green Party, Conservatives, and Restore Britain also vie for the seat.
- Though polls show Burnham leading, the campaign has been marked by controversy regarding both main candidates, including scrutiny over his past as a "career politician" and Kenyon's recent online comments.
- A Reform UK victory would indicate potential losses for Labour in former strongholds, potentially advancing the political ambitions of Reform UK leader Nigel Farage, as analysts view this by-election as a critical moment for the UK political scene.
12 Articles
12 Articles
The more scrutiny Andy Burnham faces, the less popular he gets
The Makerfield by-election has got people around the country talking about Andy Burnham again. And a new poll has shown that, with increasing scrutiny, he’s become a lot less popular. We reckon that’s because he represents the same kind of fence-sitting, corporate politics that gave the UK Keir Starmer. Unsurprising popularity dive Voters tend to view most politicians unfavourably, overall. But Andy Burnham was a rare case before the by-election…
We look at whether immigration has really been the driver for housing problems in Wigan
As people prepare to head to the polls in Makerfield tomorrow, we decided to look at whether it’s true immigration has been the driver of housing problems in Wigan.
What the people of Makerfield told us when we hit the streets
There’s less than a week to go before the people of Makerfield head to the polling stations. And while campaigners are still hitting doorsteps in droves – it seems most people in the area have already made up their minds who to vote for.

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