What the Pacific ‘Blob’ + La Niña Means for Winter in the US
NOAA forecasts a weak La Nina likely to continue through early 2026 with a 75% chance, potentially influencing late hurricane season activity and winter weather patterns.
- On Oct. 9, the Climate Prediction Center declared La Niña has officially arrived, confirmed by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
- A La Niña forms when central Pacific Ocean cools by half a degree Celsius , influencing weather in Indonesia, the Philippines, parts of Australia, the Middle East, and eastern China.
- Traditionally, La Niña reduces Atlantic wind shear, allowing more storms especially late and in the Caribbean; an average season sees 14 storms and seven hurricanes, though as of Oct. 8 there have been 10 named storms and four hurricanes.
- Model forecasts show NOAA and Columbia University indicate this La Niña is likely weak and may disappear, with Michelle L'Heureux saying `There is a three out of four chance it will remain a weak event`.
- With the season ending Nov. 30, forecasters note this La Niña could affect the 2025 hurricane season tail and a 1999 economic study found droughts cost U.S. agriculture $2.2 billion to $6.5 billion.
68 Articles
68 Articles
As La Niña begins, Philippines likely to have more rain than usual
MANILA, Philippines – Filipinos may face above-normal rainfall in the coming months as La Niña is underway. The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) announced on Friday, October 10, that La Niña conditions have been present in the tropical Pacific Ocean since September. La Niña is a weather phenomenon “characterized by unusually cooler than average sea surface temperatures in the central and east…


La Nina returns but expected to remain weak, says US weather agency
WASHINGTON, Oct 10 — The climate phenomenon known as La Niña has returned, a US agency announced yesterday. It is expected to remain weak, limiting its ability to cool the planet and supercharge Atlantic hurricane activity.La Niña is a naturally occurring climate pattern that cools surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean. Because of changes in vertical wind shear — the variation in wind speed and direction high …
A foreboding weather pattern has emerged: Here’s what it means for winter
La Niña, a climate pattern that can affect weather worldwide, has officially arrived. La Niña is fueled by colder-than-normal Pacific Ocean temperatures, which then affect the pattern of the Pacific jet stream. It’s the cooler counter to El Niño, which involves warmer-than-normal ocean waters. Both are part of a weather system called the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). La Niña conditions emerged in September, the National Weather Service’s …
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