The January CPI Report Is the Best Inflation News We've Had in Months. Here's Why.
Grocery prices rose 2.9% year-over-year with coffee and ground beef up over 17%, while overall inflation eased to a nine-month low of 2.4%, BLS data showed.
- The BLS's January CPI report, issued Friday, showed a 2.4% year-over-year rise, below economists' 2.5% forecast and the lowest inflation rate in nine months.
- Energy and housing shifts explain much of the cooling, as gasoline dipped 7.5% within the energy category and shelter slowed despite the Bureau of Labor Statistics imputation issue.
- Among food categories, notable swings included coffee surging about 18%, ground beef climbing more than 17%, and eggs falling 34% last month.
- The Fed's January pause means the Federal Reserve held the benchmark rate at 3.5%–3.75%, while the CME FedWatch Tool and Oxford forecast two quarter-point cuts this year.
- Looking at rolling averages, inflation's trajectory shows broad moderation but stagflation risk remains, with inflation averaging 2.6% from November through January versus nearly 2.9%.
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BLS Report - January Inflation from Tariffs Non-Existent, Core Inflation Lowest Since 2021
The pundits, economists and financial media are shocked, perplexed, befuddled and flummoxed. The Bureau of Labor and Statistics has released the January inflation data [SEE HERE] and the results are much better than they expected. Overall inflation is 2.4% year-over-year, and there are zero indications that tariffs are having any impact on consumer prices [See […]
Inflation cooled in January, dropping to lowest level in 9 months
(NEW YORK) -- nflation cooled in January, dropping price increases to their lowest level in nine months, new data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed. The lower-than-expected reading defied fears of a tariff-induced hike in overall costs.
January inflation data shows a significant decline in the rate to 1.7% year-on-year, a significant decrease compared to December's 2.4%. As PKO BP economist Kamil Pastor notes, this trend may be permanent, paving the way for an interest rate cut by the Monetary Policy Council as early as March.
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