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CSIS Says U.S. Weapons Stockpiles May Take Years to Rebuild After Iran War

CSIS says rebuilding Tomahawk, THAAD and Patriot inventories could take until 2030, leaving U.S. forces with a short-term munitions gap.

  • According to a Center for Strategic and International Studies analysis released Wednesday, U.S. military contractors need at least three years to replenish stockpiles of three key weapons systems used heavily in the Iran war, with Tomahawk missiles taking until late 2030.
  • The roots trace to the Cold War's end, when the U.S. assumed future wars would be short and regional, leading the Pentagon to order relatively low numbers of advanced weapons and contractors to maintain minimal manufacturing capacity.
  • Manufacturing constraints plague the rebuild despite investment: Raytheon currently produces fewer than 200 Tomahawks yearly despite aiming for more than 1,000 annually, while Lockheed Martin's $9 billion commitment through 2030 includes a new Alabama facility announced last week plus more than 20 others.
  • Chief Pentagon Spokesman Sean Parnell stated the military possesses everything needed to execute at the President's choosing, while the Trump administration's $1.5 trillion 2027 defense budget reflects bipartisan Congress agreement that the problem is not money but production time.
  • Chinese President Xi Jinping warned this month that U.S. mishandling of Taiwan relations could spark conflict, with China's 2027 military capability goal creating urgency, while Democrats cite the Iran war's toll on stockpiles and Republicans blame Ukraine aid, highlighting political divisions.
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Center

The war against Iran has significantly reduced parts of the US ammunition stockpiles, as an analysis of the CSIS shows, and production is not lagging behind.

Center

After 39 days of strikes against Iran, the U.S. Army began massively its missile stockpiles. An analysis by the CIS warns of a lasting fragility, especially in the face of China, despite record budgets.

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Proceso broke the news in Mexico on Wednesday, May 27, 2026.
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