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US regulator sues to block Minnesota's first-in-nation ban on prediction markets

The federal regulator says the new law conflicts with federal derivatives rules and could make operators and users felons starting Aug. 1.

  • On Tuesday, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission sued to block Minnesota from enforcing a new law that criminalizes prediction markets, which Governor Tim Walz signed to prohibit operations starting August 1.
  • Minnesota Attorney General Keith Ellison defended the ban, stating prediction markets are 'designed to be addictive' and 'prey especially on young people and low-income folks,' adding they help the wealthy at the expense of others.
  • CFTC Chairman Michael Selig stated the law 'turns lawful operators and participants in prediction markets into felons overnight,' while Polymarket added the state's action 'runs counter to the federal government's established framework.'
  • Federal regulators have pursued similar interventions against other states, recently securing a court order blocking Arizona from pursuing a criminal case against New York-based Kalshi; Nevada maintains an in-effect ban, while Massachusetts' highest court is weighing an injunction.
  • Under President Donald Trump, the agency maintains prediction markets fall exclusively under federal authority to regulate 'swaps,' making this clash between state criminalization and federal oversight the primary legal dispute for the $22 billion industry.
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Reuters broke the news in United Kingdom on Tuesday, May 19, 2026.
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