U.S. May See Negative Net Migration, According to CNN’s Harry Enten
CNN analyst Harry Enten projects U.S. net migration may turn negative in 2025 due to sharp immigration policy shifts, with migration down at least 60% from 2024 levels.
- In 2025, data expert Harry Enten from CNN indicated that the United States is likely to see net migration fall below zero, marking a phenomenon not observed in the country for over five decades.
- This potential decline results from aggressive immigration policies, border enforcement, and a stark drop in arrivals, with border crossings hitting record lows in June 2025.
- Additional details include an 18% effective tariff rate—the highest since the 1930s—and 180 executive orders signed by President Trump in 2025, reflecting a strong policy push.
- Experts predict that immigration levels will decline by at least 60%, with some forecasts indicating net migration could fall anywhere from approximately-525,000 to-115,000 in 2025. This reduction in migration is expected to negatively affect GDP growth, with estimates ranging from a 0.3% to 0.7% decrease.
- This situation implies economic challenges, including reduced labor inflows and strain on Social Security, though some experts remain skeptical that negative net migration will sustain long-term recovery.
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Net negative migration is harmful to the economy, economists say
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