Tariffs, economic uncertainty raise risk of recession

How Tariffs Work—And What Economic Studies Show about Their Real Impact

President Donald Trump is threatening steep tariffs on virtually all imports. Here’s what that means and what economics research suggests would be the impact

Why fixing the housing crisis is key to mitigating economic fallout from the current tariff uncertainty

Our economic engine and societal well-being is at stake

US Fed chair: The likelihood of a US economic recession is increasing

US Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell noted that Trump's policies have increased economic uncertainty, raising the likelihood of a US recession. He was addressing the media after the Fed kept interest rates unchanged at the close of its March meeting on Wednesday.

Tariffs, economic uncertainty raise risk of recession

Officials expect interest rates to tick up this year and they’ve lowered their expectations of GDP growth.

You Decide: Why Are Recession Fears Back?

Contributed by Mike Walden There’s a word most economists — indeed, most people — don’t want to hear, and it begins with an “r.” I’ll give you a 5-second countdown to guess: 5,4,3,2,1.. Buzz, time’s up. The word is “recession,” and I expect most of you guessed correctly. Yes, after being out of the headlines for most of the past year, the “R-word,” recession, is making a comeback in the news. Indeed, one economic measure designed to predict rece…

Trade war respite, recession worries and the second coming of EVs • Resolution Foundation

Afternoon all, Huge changes announced by the Government this week. Complicated but important reforms to Universal Credit to encourage more people into work, plus a massive cut to eligibility for disability benefit that doesn’t have much to do with work at all. We won’t know the full impact until the OBR releases their take, but you can get our quick-fire analysis here. Speaking of the OBR, a few in-person tickets are left for our post Spring Sta…