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Projected Loss Of International Students Could Bring A $3.4 Billion Hit

The decline could cost local economies $3.4 billion and nearly 40,000 jobs, NAFSA and JB International said.

  • On Tuesday, NAFSA: Association of International Educators and JB International projected as many as 112,000 fewer international students will enroll at U.S. colleges this fall, representing a 9.5% decline from the prior year.
  • Since January 2025, the Trump administration enacted visa bans affecting 39 countries with no exceptions for F-1 or J-1 applicants, new social media screenings, and record-high visa rejections, while State Department prioritization of FIFA World Cup ticket holders delayed student processing during peak visa season.
  • International applications to U.S. doctoral programs fell 21% this fall, while the Department of Homeland Security finalized a rule effective September 15 limiting international students to four years and replacing duration of status with a fixed Admit-Until-Date.
  • The projected enrollment drop could cost local economies $3.4 billion in spending and nearly 40,000 jobs, as international students' economic contributions are expected to fall from $43.8 billion to $38.3 billion and job support declines from 378,000 to 294,000.
  • NAFSA CEO Fanta Aw warned that forfeiting the U.S. position as top destination for global talent risks innovation, urging the administration to exempt students from travel bans, prioritize visa processing, and preserve Optional Practical Training for STEM workforce development.
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The American Bazaar broke the news on Tuesday, August 11, 2026.
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