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US Consumers to Bear Brunt of Tariff Hit, Goldman Economists Say

UNITED STATES, AUG 11 – Goldman Sachs projects US consumers will absorb 67% of new import tariff costs by October, driving inflation well above the Federal Reserve's 2% target through the holiday season.

  • Goldman Sachs economists expect U.S. consumers to bear the brunt of President Donald Trump's tariffs, as companies pass on higher costs. They project the consumer share will rise significantly over time.
  • Since returning to office, President Donald Trump imposed a 10% tariff on all foreign imports and product-specific duties, which economists project will fuel inflation, according to Goldman Sachs economists.
  • Through June, U.S. consumers bore 22% of tariff costs, projected to rise to 67% by October according to Goldman Sachs economists.
  • Planning price hikes by Adidas and Walmart, according to Goldman Sachs economists, project U.S. shoppers will face higher costs on imported goods during the holiday season.
  • Goldman Sachs analysts project that core PCE inflation will reach 3.2% in December, and `We still expect U.S. headline inflation to rise to around 3.5% by year-end`.
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Bloomberg broke the news in United States on Monday, August 11, 2025.
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