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UK economic outlook improves but firms wary of investment, BCC says

The BCC said growth will be driven by consumer spending as business investment falls 0.2% this year and inflation peaks at 3.6%.

  • On Tuesday, the British Chambers of Commerce raised Britain's 2026 growth forecast to 1.0%, slightly above its previous projection of 0.9% made in June.
  • Britain's economy withstood initial impacts from the Iran war, though firms remain wary about investment, which is set to fall by 0.2% this year.
  • Higher household energy costs from the Iran war and potential food price increases due to summer drought are driving inflation, with unemployment forecast to reach 5.0% by year-end.
  • "Businesses have absorbed another major geopolitical shock and shown real resilience," said David Bharier, the BCC's deputy director of economics and insights; growth remains subdued and relies on consumption, not investment.
  • Inflation is anticipated to peak at 3.6% this year, while unemployment is forecast to hit 5.4% in 2027 and youth joblessness is expected to reach a high of 17.6%.
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City AM broke the news in London, United Kingdom on Tuesday, September 1, 2026.
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