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UK borrowing lowest for three years but Iran war clouds outlook

The Office for National Statistics said receipts outpaced spending as borrowing fell £19.8 billion and came in £700 million below the forecast.

  • The Office for National Statistics reported public sector net borrowing fell to £132.0 billion in the financial year ending March 2026, down £19.8 billion year-on-year and £0.7 billion below the Office for Budget Responsibility forecast.
  • Chancellor Rachel Reeves and Chief Secretary to the Treasury James Murray attributed the £19.8 billion reduction to government plans to cut borrowing, while the ONS noted increased receipts offset rising spending nationwide.
  • Borrowing as a proportion of GDP reached 4.3% for the year, the lowest level since 2019-20. March 2026 borrowing fell to £12.6 billion, down £1.4 billion year-on-year.
  • While the lower deficit provides the Treasury short-term fiscal breathing room, rising oil prices following the Iran conflict threaten to drive inflation and increase borrowing if the government provides household support.
  • The International Monetary Fund warned earlier this month the UK economy faces significant risks from the Iran conflict. This week, a 0.3% inflation jump marked the first evidence of "Trumpflation" as fuel prices rise.
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perspectivemedia.com broke the news on Thursday, April 23, 2026.
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