Less Engaged Voters Were Key to Trump’s 2024 Victory, New Analysis Finds

Young voter turnout in Boulder County had steep drop off in 2024

More people in Boulder County aren’t registered with a political party and fewer are voting, according to a report released by the county Clerk and Recorder’s office earlier this week. The report offers a glimpse into trends from the 2024 election. Voter turnout in Boulder County eclipsed the national figure — 84.4% of registered voters locally had their ballot counted, as opposed to about 64% nationally — but it dropped nearly six percent compa…

Democrats Face Steep Losses by Ignoring Less Politically Engaged Americans and Doing so Could Seal Their Fate

By Manzanita Miller A grim new report for Democrats just emerged, with the Democratic data firm Catalist releasing  its autopsy of the 2024 election and proving conservatives are right about the strong political realignment taking place under President Donald Trump. The report provides strong evidence that the so-called Obama Coalition – a unified group of working-class, young and minority voters — has moved to the right and less politically act…

Abbreviated Pundit Roundup: How elections are won—and lost

Lakshya Jain/Washington Post: The 2024 election was even weirder than we thought An expansive new report challenges early theories about how Donald Trump won. This is where Catalist’s estimates, which blend complex voter file modeling with large-scale...

Harris Struggles: Youthful Support for Dems Collapses - Real News Now

In a remarkable revelation last month, David Shor, a Democratic pollster and strategist, boldly contended that the youth of today could well be the most conventional generation we’ve seen in over half a century. This startling claim lacked any endorsement from existing public surveys before or after the pivotal election. National exit polls, albeit flawed, displayed Kamala Harris winning the 18-to-29-year-old segment by a modest 11 points—an und…

States Where Trump is Most Popular With GenZ

Young voters have historically supported Democratic presidential candidates by wide margins. But, like so many other reliable Democratic-leaning demographic groups, young people shifted meaningfully to the right on Election Day 2024. In every presidential race since 2008, at least 60% of voters under 30 have supported the Democratic candidate. In the most recent election, however, Democrat Kamala Harris received only 54% of the young vote, accor…

Why Kamala Harris Lost

AN ANALYSIS OF THE 2024 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION Introduction Catalist's What Happened reports offer a comprehensive voter-file based view of the electorate after every major presidential and midterm election. Our 2024 report is based on publicly available vote history data and precinct-level election results from every state and Washington, DC - which are only made available...