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Trump will not win this year's Nobel Peace Prize, but he may influence who does, say experts

Experts say the five-member committee may avoid a pick that could draw pressure from Trump, with candidates including the pope and international courts.

  • On October 9, the Norwegian Nobel Committee will announce this year's Peace Prize laureate while weighing candidates capable of withstanding intense pressure from President Donald Trump.
  • Last year's award to Venezuela's Maria Corina Machado was unique in the 125-year history of the prize; weeks later, Machado gifted her gold medal to Trump, forcing the committee to reconsider how to protect laureates from political co-option.
  • Experts suggest the committee may honor the International Criminal Court or Pope Leo to defend international law, though analysts argue they might select a 'safe' choice to avoid antagonizing Trump.
  • Nobel Peace Prize laureate Maria Ressa condemned the political interference during an Oslo visit in September, stating "Bullies don't run the world," reflecting the committee's tension between maintaining independence and navigating external intimidation.
  • Honoring the International Criminal Court or Francesca Albanese, the UN special rapporteur on the Occupied Palestinian Territories, could signal a defense of international law even as Washington prepares potential sanctions against the global tribunal.
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49 Articles

Experts say ahead of the Nobel Peace Prize announcement next week that Donald Trump's intense campaign for the award last year is forcing the committee to be more cautious in choosing this year's winner.

·Vilnius, Lithuania
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This year, the Nobel Committee is likely to try to choose a winner who can withstand Trump's pressure.

·Kyiv, Ukraine
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Lean Right

US President Donald Trump will not win this year’s Nobel Peace Prize because he is at war with Iran, but his influence will nevertheless be felt. It would be felt mainly on the award committee that selects the person who will be honored with the Nobel, according to experts. Last year’s award, to Venezuelan Maria Corina Machado, was unique in the 125-year history of the prize, as it was awarded amid repeated pressure from Trump to receive the pri…

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saarbruecker-zeitung.de broke the news on Monday, September 28, 2026.
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