US EditionTrump immigration policies and a lower fertility rate slow US growth projection, budget office says
The CBO forecasts natural population growth to end by 2030 and projects U.S. population will grow by only 15 million by 2056, down 2.2% from last year’s estimate.
- On Wednesday, the Congressional Budget Office projected U.S. population will grow by 15 million in 30 years, reaching 364 million, due to policies and demographic trends.
- Citing causes, the Congressional Budget Office said the administration's aggressive effort to cut illegal immigration and declining fertility rates, including fewer births from foreign-born women, slow U.S. population growth.
- The administration has funded and expanded enforcement by deploying Immigration and Customs Enforcement agents, imposing visa bans, and using roughly $150 billion from Trump's tax and spending law to support deportations, with CBO estimating roughly 320,000 removals over 10 years.
- The CBO warned that smaller-than-expected population growth will increase pressure on Social Security and Medicare with fewer people in the U.S. labor force paying taxes.
- Looking ahead, the Congressional Budget Office projects U.S. population growth will stop in 2056, demographers warn the shift is a lasting shock, and analysts emphasize uncertainty in forecasts.
81 Articles
81 Articles
Congressional Budget Office Projects Lower Than Expected US Population Growth
The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) said on Jan. 7 that the U.S. population will likely grow by only 15 million people in the next 30 years, a decline from its last estimate. The office projects 364 million people living in the United States in 2056, up from the current population of around 349 million. The population growth will be 0.3 percent on average in the next 10 years, but will go down to an average rate of just 0.1 percent between 203…
More Americans will die than be born in 2030, CBO predicts—leaving immigrants as the only source of population growth
For the first time in modern history, the United States is on the brink of losing its most basic engine of growth: more births than deaths.According to the Congressional Budget Office’s (CBO) Demographic Outlook, released Tuesday, the year 2030 marks a tipping point that will fundamentally reshape the economy and social fabric. That’s the year the “natural” U.S. population—the balance of births over deaths—is projected to vanish. “Net immigrat…
Wall Street Journal
Political WireU.S. Population Growth Is Projected to Slow Further
KHQ Right Now
U.S. population growth projected to slow due to policies, aging
UNITED STATES — The Congressional Budget Office has projected a significant slowdown in U.S. population growth over the next 30 years, estimating an increase of only 15 million people.
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