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Nate Silver Says Trump’s Approval Rating Has ‘Profound Problems’

Nate Silver said Trump faces profound problems as his net approval fell to minus 17.4, with gas prices and base erosion weighing on support.

  • President Donald Trump's approval rating has fallen to 39.9 percent, a second-term low, with polling expert Nate Silver citing "profound problems" within the Republican coalition.
  • Escalating conflict with Iran and resulting gas price spikes have driven the decline, which Silver notes fell by nearly 5 percent this month. "Gas prices are a big factor," Silver wrote.
  • Recent polling shows 59 percent of Americans disapprove of Trump's performance as commander in chief, while 46 percent believe the Iran conflict makes the U.S. less safe.
  • Republican allies have begun expressing doubts about the war amid the 2026 midterm season, expected to be defined by affordability issues that threaten party control.
  • While extreme political polarization may provide a floor for support, Silver suggests Trump faces challenges in recovering, noting that many political wounds have been "self-inflicted.
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Bias Distribution

  • 57% of the sources lean Left
57% Left

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The Independent broke the news in London, United Kingdom on Tuesday, March 31, 2026.
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