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Tropical Storm Erin Forecasted to Become a Major Hurricane. Will It Hit the DC Area?

Tropical Storm Erin is forecast to reach category 3 with 115 mph winds by Sunday, becoming the season's first major hurricane earlier than the usual September 1 timing.

  • On Monday, August 11, 2025, Tropical Storm Erin formed off Africa’s coast as the fifth Atlantic storm, with forecasts it will become the season’s first hurricane by Friday.
  • Analysis shows environmental factors, including warm Atlantic waters and relaxing upper-level winds, are creating conditions conducive to Erin's strengthening, forecasters say.
  • Forecast models show Erin will become a hurricane on Aug. 15 and strengthen into a major hurricane by Sunday morning, Aug. 17, with winds reaching 115 mph.
  • Impacts may include heavy rain, gusty winds, and rough surf for residents in the northern Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico as Erin passes north this weekend.
  • Looking ahead, forecasters warn the season is entering its most active stretch amid an above-average Atlantic hurricane season, with Erin intensifying earlier than usual.
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EyeWitness News broke the news in on Wednesday, August 13, 2025.
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