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Tropical Storm Erin Forecast to Be Hurricane by Friday

Tropical Storm Erin is forecast to become a major hurricane by Sunday with maximum sustained winds reaching 120 mph, as ocean temperatures remain above average, experts say.

  • Within 48 hours, Tropical Storm Erin is set to become a hurricane, with forecasts predicting it will strengthen late Thursday, Aug. 14 or early Friday, Aug. 15, according to the National Hurricane Center.
  • Ocean temperatures between mid-August and mid-October are fueling Erin, with sea surface temperatures near 79 degrees Fahrenheit, the minimum for cyclones.
  • Positioned roughly 1,400 miles east of the northern Leeward Islands at 5 a.m., Erin sustains maximum winds of 45 mph while moving west at 20 mph.
  • As Erin moves west and north, it will generate hazardous surf, forecast to cause dangerous conditions in the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico next week.
  • The National Hurricane Center noted uncertainty, saying, "There is even greater uncertainty in what impacts, if any, might occur in... the east coast of the United States... next week.
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The U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC) had reported that tropical storm Erin could turn this Thursday, August 14, into a hurricane, the first of the Atlantic season.

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The Florida Times-Union broke the news in Jacksonville, United States on Tuesday, August 12, 2025.
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