US EditionThe World Lost the Climate Gamble. Now, It Faces a Dangerous New Reality
Scientists say exceeding 1.5°C warming risks triggering irreversible Earth tipping points and extreme events affecting billions without rapid global emission cuts and CO2 removal.
- Nov 23: Earth League scientists released an assessment after Belém, Brazil, warning global warming will exceed 1.5°C and concluding humanity has lost this bet a decade after Paris.
- A decade on from the 2015 Paris Agreement, scientists say voluntary national decarbonisation plans and missed action have left nations close to critical climate thresholds.
- Scaling policies by a factor of ten requires nations' decarbonisation plans, at least 5% annual global emission reductions, and new CO2 removal of 5 billion tonnes per year.
- Overshoot already threatens extreme events and tipping points for the Amazon rainforest and Greenland and West Antarctic ice sheets, while tropical coral reefs supporting over 200 million people are unlikely to cope.
- Longer term, the assessment warns self-amplifying feedbacks could push the planet toward a hothouse Earth scenario, driving temperatures beyond 5°C, yet simultaneous action on emissions, removals and nature still offers a chance to minimise overshoot.
10 Articles
10 Articles
The world lost the climate gamble. Now, it faces a dangerous new reality
Ten years ago the world's leaders placed a historic bet. The 2015 Paris agreement aimed to put humanity on a path to avert dangerous climate change. A decade on, with the latest climate conference ending in Belém, Brazil, without decisive action, we can definitively say humanity has lost this bet.
The world lost the climate gamble. Now it faces a dangerous new reality
FrankHH / shutterstockTen years ago the world’s leaders placed a historic bet. The 2015 Paris agreement aimed to put humanity on a path to avert dangerous climate change. A decade on, with the latest climate conference ending in Belém, Brazil, without decisive action, we can definitively say humanity has lost this bet. Warming is going to exceed 1.5°C. We are heading into “overshoot” within the next few years. The world is going to become more t…
BELÉM – “Frustration”. That is the word chosen by the Chilean Minister of the Environment, Maisa Rojas, to describe the closing day, this Friday 21, of the climate summit hosted by the Amazon city of Belém. The march of the 30th Conference of the Parties (COP30) in its final hours “ leads us to reflect [...]
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