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Michigan vs. Purdue Predictions & Best Bets for Top-10 Showdown: No. 1 Wolverines Seek Marquee Win

Michigan, with an 8-0 road record and balanced scoring from eight players, is favored over Purdue despite Braden Smith's strong playmaking, per SportsLine's 69% spread coverage projection.

  • On Tuesday, Michigan Wolverines were favored over the Purdue Boilermakers at Mackey Arena, tipoff 6:30 p.m. ET, with DraftKings listing Michigan as a 2.5-point favorite.
  • Michigan Wolverines' depth with eight players averaging at least 7.6 points and an 8-0 road record underpins their favoritism, along with a +22.3 scoring margin and Mara's rim protection.
  • Model projects Purdue guard Braden Smith, a Wooden Award candidate, to score 16.4 points, with a 69.0% chance Purdue covers, based on 10,000 simulations by the SportsLine Projection Model.
  • With 20 days remaining in the regular season, the result impacts Big Ten standings as a Michigan win would strengthen their top position, while a loss could allow Purdue to chip away at the lead.
  • Market-first: sportsbooks posted varying moneylines and spread values, with DraftKings listing Michigan at-162 and Fanatics at-140, while the SportsLine Projection Model assigns Purdue a 69.0% chance to cover +2.5.
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Bias Distribution

  • 71% of the sources are Center
71% Center

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Tallahassee Democrat broke the news in Tallahassee, United States on Tuesday, February 17, 2026.
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