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The Russian Economy Is Stuck Between Stagnation and Inflation — Intelligence

Summary by ГОЛОВНА
The SSR of Ukraine states that the aggressor has entered the phase of economic trap
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Four years after the launch of a full-scale invasion of Ukraine, the Russian economy is grappling with mounting problems. High war spending, effective Western sanctions, depleted reserves, and deepening budget deficits make recession an increasingly real possibility. The problem is that—as history and the present demonstrate—this doesn't necessarily mean the Kremlin will capitulate. The terrifying conclusion is that the worse the Russian economy…

The strict monetary policy of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation has effectively strangled business activity and exacerbated the stagnation processes that have already become systemic.

·Kyiv, Ukraine
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The Foreign Intelligence Service of Ukraine informs about this. GDP near zero and shrinking investmentIt is noted that in 2025, economic growth has almost stopped: GDP hovered near zero (— 0.3% in Q1, 0% in Q2, +0.1% in Q3). “Even a slight revival in the middle of the year was limited to the military-industrial complex and individual segments of the raw materials industries and did not generate any momentum for the civilian economy,” the intelli…

Russia's economy is sliding into stagflation: intelligence agencies say tight monetary policy has stifled business activityRussia's economic indicators signal a slide into stagflation. The Russian central bank's tight monetary policy has stifled business activity.

·Kyiv, Ukraine
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The SSR of Ukraine states that the aggressor has entered the phase of economic trap

·Kyiv, Ukraine
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ГОЛОВНА broke the news in Kyiv, Ukraine on Wednesday, January 28, 2026.
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