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The Probability of a Historical Episode of El Niño Is 75%

Summary by France24
According to its measurements and modeling, El Niño should continue to intensify until it reaches its peak at the end of this year. "During the season of October-December 2026, there is a 75% probability of a historical event that would exceed the strength of previous El Niño events since 1950," said NOAA. A month ago, NOAA estimated that probability at 69%. El Niño's phenomenon, synonymous with droughts, floods and extreme temperatures worldwid…

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According to its measurements and modeling, El Niño should continue to intensify until it reaches its peak at the end of this year. "During the season of October-December 2026, there is a 75% probability of a historical event that would exceed the strength of previous El Niño events since 1950," said NOAA. A month ago, NOAA estimated that probability at 69%. El Niño's phenomenon, synonymous with droughts, floods and extreme temperatures worldwid…

·Issy-les-Moulineaux, France
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Super El Niño can reach historical intensity at the end of 2026, with a forecast of almost 4°C in the Pacific. See the possible climate impacts of each region of Brazil.

The El Niño phenomenon continues to strengthen and is heading towards an episode of very strong intensity, with potential to alter rainfall and temperature patterns in different parts of the world and increase the risk of droughts, floods and extreme heat until 2027. The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) reported that there is a probability of [...]

The climate phenomenon El Niño recorded a marked intensification during the month of August. According to data published by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), the probability that the current episode will become the most powerful in the history of meteorological measurements has risen to 75%, reports the agency AFP

The El Niño phenomenon that will mark the agricultural campaign 2026/27 continues to strengthen and increases its probability of reaching an exceptional intensity. According to a special report by Aprilis Meteorological Solutions for the Agricultural Union of Avellaneda (UAA), the possibility that the quarterly RONI index will reach or exceed +2.5 °C between October and December...

The Child who will mark the 2026/27 agricultural campaign is increasingly likely to reach an unprecedented intensity since 1950. The probability of the phenomenon reaching that level between October and December rose from 69% to 75%. This according to a special report by Aprilis Meteorological Solutions for the Agricultural Union of Avellaneda (UAA), based on a report prepared from the last update of the Climate Prediction Center (CPC) of the Un…

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France24 broke the news in Issy-les-Moulineaux, France on Saturday, September 12, 2026.
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