Tight Runoff Race: Lula vs. Bolsonaro in Brazil
- On Thursday, an AtlasIntel/Bloomberg poll showed Brazilian Senator Flavio Bolsonaro and President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva in a statistical tie for next month's simulated runoff, with the challenger holding a narrow lead within the survey's margin of error.
- AtlasIntel surveyed 5,018 people between September 11 and 16 to gauge voter sentiment ahead of the October 4 election. If no candidate secures more than 50% of valid votes, the two frontrunners advance to an October 25 runoff.
- In a first-round scenario, Lula would receive 44.1% of voter support, followed by Bolsonaro with 41.7%. Candidates Renan Santos and Augusto Cury trail with 5.1% and 3.5%, respectively, illustrating the competitive landscape.
- Should the election reach a second round, the eldest son of President Jair Bolsonaro would receive 47.2% of voter support compared with 46.8% for the incumbent. The 1 percentage point margin of error indicates a highly competitive race.
- The narrowing gap contrasts with a previous poll showing Lula at 43% and Bolsonaro at 37.4% in the first round. This shift underscores the uncertainty and volatility in voter sentiment as the election date approaches.
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According to the latest poll by AtlasIntel, both candidates hold less than a point of distance, although the conservative senator slightly extended his advantage
Brazil's Flavio Bolsonaro, Lula tied in runoff scenario, Atlas poll shows
SAO PAULO, Sept 17 - Brazilian Senator Flavio Bolsonaro and President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva remain statistically tied in a simulated runoff ahead of next month's election, an AtlasIntel/Bloomberg poll showed on Thursday, with the right-wing challenger holding a narrow lead within the survey's margin of error. Read more at straitstimes.com.
Tight Runoff Race: Lula vs. Bolsonaro in Brazil
A recent AtlasIntel/Bloomberg poll reveals a close contest between Brazilian Senator Flavio Bolsonaro and President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva ahead of next month's election. The poll indicates they are statistically tied, with Bolsonaro holding a slight lead that's within the margin of error.
Jair Bolsonaro's son won four points in a week
All the latest research shows Flávio oscillating up and Lula down, with the two tied in the second round, making the result of the presidential election of 2026 unpredictable. Throughout the campaign, the wind of the research has turned other times
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- 43% of the sources are Center
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