US Edition
How Trump and His Advisers Miscalculated Iran’s Response to War
Iran launched missile and drone attacks on US bases, regional cities, and Israel, disrupting shipping and markets while the Trump administration struggled with mixed messaging and strategy.
- On Thursday, Iran responded far more aggressively, launching missile and drone barrages at US military bases and cities in Arab nations, while the administration misread Tehran's response.
- Some military advisers warned Iran would treat the attack as existential while others argued removing leaders might produce more pragmatic successors, reflecting divergent goals and risk assessments.
- US military attacked 16 Iranian minelaying vessels, complicating efforts to resume shipments and halting commercial shipping, as Pentagon briefings showed heavy munition use.
- Republicans in Washington warned rising oil prices could undercut their midterm message, and the Administration proposed Venezuelan oil and announced a new refinery in Texas to boost supply.
- After a Tuesday briefing, US officials are increasingly pessimistic about strategy, and Sen. Christopher S. Murphy said the administration had 'NO PLAN' for reopening the Strait of Hormuz, with Hegseth acknowledging Iran's response caught the Pentagon off guard.
16 Articles
16 Articles
On February 18, while President Donald Trump weighed whether to launch military attacks against Iran, Chris Wright, U.S. Secretary of Energy, told an interviewer that he was not concerned that the impending war could disrupt the supply of oil in the Middle East and wreak havoc on the energy markets. Even during last June’s Israeli and U.S. attacks on Iran, Wright said, there were hardly any market disruptions. “The oil prices went up suddenly an…
Iranian sea mines are paralyzing one of the world's most important oil routes. Military expert Carlo Masala explains why this US miscalculation leads to an extension of the war.
How Trump Miscalculated Iran’s Response to War
New York Times: “The extent of that miscalculation was laid bare in recent days, as Iran threatened to fire at commercial oil tankers transiting the Strait of Hormuz, the strategic choke point through which all ships must pass on their way out of the Persian Gulf. In response to the Iranian threat
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