Lula Holds Thin Lead over Flavio Bolsonaro Ahead of Brazil Election, Datafolha Poll Shows
The poll of 2,002 voters shows Lula ahead by 2 points in a runoff, a gap within Datafolha's 2-point margin of error.
- On Thursday, a Datafolha poll showed Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva leading Senator Flavio Bolsonaro 47% to 45% in a potential runoff, a result representing a technical tie due to the 2 percentage point margin of error.
- In the first-round scenario, Lula leads with 40% of the vote, followed by Bolsonaro at 36%, as the senator campaigns while his father, former President Jair Bolsonaro, serves a 27-year prison sentence.
- Data from a Quaest poll released on Monday showed Bolsonaro with 42% support versus 41% for Lula, while a separate BTG Pactual/Nexus poll had Lula at 46% compared to 45% for the senator.
- Datafolha surveyed 2,002 people between September 22-23 to gauge voter sentiment ahead of October's election, where a runoff is required if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes.
- Seeking a fourth nonconsecutive term, Lula faces a competitive race against the right-wing senator as polling consistency demonstrates the electorate's volatility heading into October's final campaign stage.
11 Articles
11 Articles
A close race in Brazil, with Lula maintaining a narrow two-point lead over Flavio Bolsonaro. Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva is still two percentage points ahead of his main rival, Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, according to a new Datafolha poll released Thursday. 47% for Lula, 45% for Bolsonaro In the event of a second round of presidential elections in October, Lula has 47% support, while Flavio Bolsonaro is behind with 45%.
Lula holds thin lead over Flavio Bolsonaro ahead of Brazil election, Datafolha poll shows
SAO PAULO, Sept 24 (Reuters) - Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva has maintained a two-percentage-point lead over Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, his main challenger, in a potential runoff ahead of October's election, a Datafolha poll showed on ...
Just days after the presidential elections, the latest polls of the intention to vote mark a panorama between Flavio Bolsonaro and Luiz Inácio “Lula” da Silva
What is margin of error Datafolha discloses this Thursday (24), at the beginning of the night, a new round of electoral surveys with the numbers of the presidential race. The survey was hired by Globo and the newspaper Folha de São Paulo. In the previous presidential survey, of 17 September, Lula (PT) had 39% in the 1st round, followed by Flávio Bolsonaro (PL), with 36%. Augusto Cury (Avante) appeared in the third place, with 6%. In the simulati…
Coverage Details
Bias Distribution
- 50% of the sources lean Right
Factuality
To view factuality data please Upgrade to Premium
