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‘90% Chance of War’ Against Islamic Republic in Coming Weeks, Washington Source Says

US military has deployed over 150 cargo flights and 50 fighter jets to the Middle East amid fragile diplomacy and warnings of a likely armed conflict with Iran.

  • An adviser to President Donald Trump told Axios there is about a 90% chance of kinetic action against Iran in the next few weeks following nuclear talks in Switzerland.
  • Iranian leaders are negotiating a nuclear deal while preparing for war by dispersing forces and fortifying sites, even as US Vice President JD Vance says the administration seeks talks to block Iran’s nuclear weapon.
  • More than 150 US military cargo flights have moved weapons systems and ammunition, while in the past 24 hours an additional 50 fighter jets, including F-35s, F-22s, and F-16s, were dispatched east, with tanker planes heading toward the region.
  • Advocacy groups warned a war would kill innocent people, deepen repression inside Iran, and ignite a regionwide conflict, the National Iranian American Council said.
  • A Russian warship arrived at Bandar Abbas, Iran, ahead of Thursday exercises near the USS Abraham Lincoln, as reporting warned of a potential US‑Israeli joint campaign involving two aircraft carriers and dozens of warships.
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The Middle East could be on the brink of a major war between the United States and Iran. “There is a 90 percent chance that we will see active operations in the coming weeks,” a source told Axios.

·Stockholm, Sweden
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  • 56% of the sources lean Right
56% Right

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Maariv Online broke the news in Israel on Wednesday, February 18, 2026.
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