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What’s at Stake for Europe if the Strait of Hormuz Is Blocked?

  • On June 14, 2025, Iran announced it is evaluating the possibility of shutting down the Strait of Hormuz in retaliation for Israeli airstrikes targeting its nuclear and missile infrastructure.
  • This consideration follows a series of deadly attacks and retaliations between Israel and Iran that have escalated regional tensions near the vital shipping chokepoint.
  • Iran’s capability to disrupt the Strait includes short- and medium-range missiles able to target oil infrastructure, commercial vessels, and ports, alongside potential use of warships and drones.
  • Over 17 million barrels of oil flow daily through the Strait of Hormuz, and experts caution that a blockade there could cause prices to soar past $100 per barrel, trigger military clashes involving US and European naval forces, and lead to energy shortages, particularly across Europe.
  • The potential blockade poses serious risks of escalating military confrontation and disrupting global oil markets, with Iran affirming its intent to respond decisively while remaining uncertain about the immediacy of closing the Strait.
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The escalation in the Middle East could have serious economic consequences. An oil price shock would help Putin and hit many states – especially Germany.

·Germany
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Bloomberg broke the news in United States on Friday, June 13, 2025.
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