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Cornyn, Paxton Locked in Dead Heat in Texas Primary: Poll

An Emerson College poll shows Cornyn and Paxton tied at 30% and 29%, with 37% of Texas Republican primary voters undecided, highlighting a highly competitive race.

  • On Friday, Emerson College Polling showed a close race between Senator John Cornyn and Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton in the GOP primary, with no specific percentages provided.
  • Campaign clashes have intensified as Senator John Cornyn emphasized his voting record overwhelmingly in favor of Trump's agenda and Ken Paxton regularly denounces him as a `RINO`.
  • Pollsters weighted responses by demographic factors and matched panel responses to voter files, with a credibility interval of ±3 percentage points and ±4.4 points for the Republican sample.
  • With no clear frontrunner, 37% of GOP primary voters remain undecided, and primary rules require 50% plus one vote to avoid a May runoff.
  • Looking ahead to the November 2026 general election, Cornyn leads Democrat Colin Allred 45% to 38% with 17% undecided, the Emerson poll suggests.
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Poll finds Cornyn, Paxton in dead heat in Texas’ Senate GOP primary

Previous polls had shown Texas AG Ken Paxton with a considerable lead over Texas’ incumbent senator, John Cornyn.

·Dallas, United States
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Political Wire broke the news in New York, United States on Friday, August 15, 2025.
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