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Are Insider Traders Making Millions From the Iran War?
BBC data showed trading spikes minutes before Trump’s market-moving posts, with some bettors earning millions and analysts questioning whether the pattern reflects insider access.
- An investigation by the BBC identified consistent trading spikes occurring minutes before major announcements by President Donald Trump, raising questions about potential insider trading. The report highlighted five significant examples of market activity on financial and prediction platforms.
- Before Trump posted updates on the Iran conflict, traders frequently placed large bets. In one instance, $580mn in oil bets were placed 15 minutes before a Trump post, with oil prices subsequently shifting significantly.
- Prediction markets like Polymarket also saw unusual activity, with one account called Burdensome-Mix winning $436,000 on Venezuelan President Nicol Maduro's ouster. Sixteen bets made $100,000 each predicting Iran airstrikes, analysts say.
- A White House spokesman called allegations of official involvement "baseless and irresponsible," while the SEC declined to comment. Legal experts note that proving insider trading remains difficult without identifying information sources.
- While evidence of suspicious patterns mounts, legal experts indicate a strong chance no one will be prosecuted. The ongoing activity could represent one of history's largest insider trading scandals.
11 Articles
11 Articles
'Consistent pattern' of trading spikes ahead of Trump announcements
It’s almost undeniable now that Donald Trump’s White House is engaging in insider trading as more evidence of suspicious patterns are found. Throughout Trump’s second term in office, rumours have swirled that people are managing to make a quick – and significant – buck thanks to having prior knowledge of major announcements the president is going to make. The war in Iran has crystallised these accusations. Last month for example, hundreds of mil…
Donald Trump's declaration of war has meant millions in profits for those who timed it right. A new analysis shows a consistent pattern of trading shortly before the news, according to the BBC. - There is a high chance that no one will be prosecuted, says financial specialist Paul Oudin, to the television channel.
Is anyone gonna do anything about these Iran War trades? : The Indicator from Planet Money
Traders have made millions betting on the Iran War. They are also suspiciously timed. No public information, then boom: a Truth Social post from President Trump. Cue fat windfalls for the traders. It’s starting to look a lot like insider trading. On today’s show, suspicious bets on the Iran War. And are federal regulators or prosecutors looking into these trades … is anyone?Come see Planet Money live on stage! 12 cities. Details and tix here: pl…
Allegations fly as Trump announcements tied to potential insider trading schemes
Unusual trading patterns in financial markets have preceded several major announcements by President Donald Trump during his second term, raising questions about potential insider trading.An examination of market data by the BBC identified consistent spikes in trading activity hours or minutes befor...
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