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Talarico Leads Paxton by 3 Points in Texas Senate Race Post-Runoff Poll

The poll found Talarico ahead 47% to 44%, with moderates and independents backing him and 30% of Cornyn runoff voters crossing over.

  • A Texas Public Opinion Research poll conducted May 27–28 shows Democratic Rep. James Talarico leading Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton 47% to 44% in the Texas Senate race, a margin within the poll's error range.
  • Paxton's standing follows years of legal challenges, including a 2015 indictment for securities fraud and his 2023 Texas House impeachment, though the Texas Senate later acquitted him and courts dismissed his case in March 2024.
  • Among GOP runoff voters planning to back Talarico, 51% cite Paxton's criminality or corruption as their primary motivation, while Talarico draws strong support from moderates and independents across the state.
  • Talarico aims to become the first Democrat to win a Texas Senate seat since Bob Krueger in 1993, as Texans view him more favorably than Paxton, who holds a 38% favorability rating.
  • Affordability ranks as the top issue for voters, with 23% citing it as their primary concern, while 11% prioritize democracy and voting rights as the general election approaches in November.
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Talarico leads Paxton by 3 points in Texas senate race post-runoff poll

Of the Cornyn voters who said they will now back Talarico, over half cited the criminal charges against Paxton and corruption concerns.

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  • 69% of the sources are Center
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KTBC broke the news on Friday, May 29, 2026.
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