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Race for California Governor Moves on After Dramatic Downfall of Rep. Eric Swalwell

Prediction markets put Steyer at a 55% chance of winning after Swalwell withdrew amid sexual misconduct allegations.

  • Billionaire philanthropist Tom Steyer emerged as the favorite to win California's gubernatorial election on Tuesday, with prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket giving him 55% odds following Democratic Rep. Eric Swalwell's sudden withdrawal.
  • Swalwell suspended his campaign on Sunday amid sexual misconduct allegations that broke on Friday; he subsequently announced plans to resign from Congress, citing the need to avoid distracting his constituents.
  • Steyer, who founded hedge fund Farallon Capital, has secured endorsements from several state lawmakers and is self-funding his campaign, positioning his business background as a challenge to the political status quo.
  • San Jose Democratic Mayor Matt Mahan criticized the field, saying, "California deserves so much better," noting the presence of a billionaire and a MAGA-backed television commentator.
  • With more than 50 candidates remaining in the unpredictable June 2 primary, voters face a wide-open contest, while Republicans have yet to settle on a preferred candidate for the general election.
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California governor candidates see opening after Swalwell’s exit

Candidates for California governor have gathered for the first time since U.S. Rep. Eric Swalwell’s dramatic exit over sexual assault allegations.

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DeFi Rate broke the news on Sunday, April 12, 2026.
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