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Becerra Maintains Commanding Lead over Hilton in California Governor's Race, Poll Shows

The poll found 55% of likely voters backing Becerra, while prediction markets gave him a 95.5% chance of winning.

  • On Thursday, a UC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies poll showed Democrat Xavier Becerra commanding 55% support versus Republican Steve Hilton's 37%, giving Becerra an 18-point lead ahead of the November 3 general election.
  • Voters remain deeply polarized along party lines, with 88% of Democrats backing Becerra and 91% of Republicans supporting Hilton; however, Becerra maintains a decisive advantage among independent voters, leading 58% to 30%.
  • Among Becerra supporters, 38% cited his focus on 'traditional Democratic policies' while another 38% valued his willingness to fight Trump administration policies; Hilton's backers pointed to cutting taxes and reducing regulations as primary motivators.
  • Both candidates gained support since May, yet political forecasters still classify the race as safe for Democrats, as Hilton struggles to break through in a state where Republicans are outnumbered nearly 2-to-1.
  • With the November 3 election approaching to replace Governor Gavin Newsom, Hilton has challenged Becerra to debates in the coming months, though the schedule remains unclear for the high-stakes gubernatorial contest.
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Los Angeles Times broke the news in El Segundo, United States on Thursday, August 13, 2026.
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