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Spanish right-wing parties keep solid lead ahead of November election, polls show

Polls show PP and Vox could win 198 seats, giving the far-right party a path into central government for the first time since Spain's return to democracy.

  • On Friday, opinion polls indicated that Spain's centre-right People's Party and far-right Vox are on track to win a combined parliamentary majority in the snap general election called for November 29.
  • Socialist Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez called the snap election this week after parliament rejected his government's proposals to address a mounting housing crisis amid widespread demands for better access to affordable housing.
  • A survey by El País showed the People's Party and Vox could clinch 198 seats, surpassing the 176-seat threshold needed for a parliamentary majority, while the PP would secure 31.9% of the vote.
  • The eviction of 87-year-old Maricarmen Abascal—who died in hospital on Wednesday—triggered widespread protests over surging rents, which Sanchez is gambling will galvanize leftist voters and shift attention from alleged corruption investigations.
  • Opposition leader Alberto Nunez Feijoo is now positioned to become Spain's next prime minister, which could usher the far-right party into central government for the first time since Spain's return to democracy following the 1975 death of authoritarian leader Francisco Franco.
Insights by Ground AI

71 Articles

Lean Right

The early elections in Spain, scheduled for 29 November, will be marked, everything indicates, by the arrival to the central government of the extreme right of the Vox. Polls – which in the case of Spain have managed to get a real preview of the votes – indicate that, in a somewhat unexpected way, everything will remain exactly the same as what happened in the previous elections, in July 2023: the People's Party will win with a too short majorit…

·Lisboa, Portugal
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Lean Right

A more restrictive migration policy, the repeal of laws regarding equality and LGBTQ+ rights, and a departure from Schengen. A small selection of the plans of the Spanish far-right party Vox. In just over a month, Spaniards will go to the polls, and recent polls predict a major victory for Vox, which could form a government together with the center-right People's Party (PP). This would make Vox the first radical right-wing party to join a Spanis…

·Amsterdam, Netherlands (Kingdom of the)
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Center

The British daily finds it difficult to turn the polls around, although he warns that “Feijóo conveys an image of slowness and poor agility in public.”

·Madrid, Spain
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Right

Andalusia, the Community of Madrid and Extremadura could be the greatest advances in seats for the victory of the PP and Vox sum

·Madrid, Spain
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INTELLINEWSINTELLINEWS
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Center

The People's Party (PP, traditional right) is the favourite in the polls to win the early general elections in Spain.

Center

Survey in Spain with Marked Elections: Almost Certain Absolute Majority for the Right, Left Left Left Left Left Left Left Left Left Left Left Left Left Left Left Left Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right Right

Even if the Vox and the People's Party can only achieve the minimums that the polls give them, this comes to an absolute comfortable majority, according to the latest poll on the early elections in Spain. Fieldwork has already been done after the Prime Minister has called the legislature on November 29th.

·Paço de Arcos, Portugal
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  • 46% of the sources are Center
46% Center

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Eldiario.es broke the news in Madrid, Spain on Saturday, October 3, 2026.
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