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New Poll Shows Spanberger with 17-Point Lead over Earle

  • A Roanoke College poll released in May 2025 shows Democrat Abigail Spanberger leading Republican Winsome Earle-Sears by 17 points in Virginia's gubernatorial race.
  • The poll follows increased political anxiety and dissatisfaction with the federal government amid shifting partisan views and economic concerns among Virginians.
  • Spanberger holds 43% support to Earle-Sears' 26%, leads independents, while many Republicans remain undecided but likely to back Earle-Sears, with over a quarter of voters still undecided overall.
  • The poll surveyed 658 Virginians from May 12–19, 2025, with a 5.25% margin of error, and found Spanberger’s favorability at 41% compared to Earle-Sears’ 32%; Governor Youngkin’s approval stands at 46%.
  • These results suggest a Democratic advantage heading into the November 4, 2025, election, although the high number of undecided voters and potential partisan shifts keep the race competitive.
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roanoke.edu broke the news in on Thursday, May 22, 2025.
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