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South Africa Raises Rates for First Time Since 2023
The bank warned inflation could average 4.4% in 2026 and said up to three more hikes may follow if risks persist.
The South African Reserve Bank increased the interest rate by 25 basis points on Friday, marking the first hike since May 2023 and raising the repo rate to 7%.
Persistent inflation risks driven by the ongoing war in Iran prompted the move, with Governor Lesetja Kganyago stating it is vital to act quickly to maintain the SARB's credibility.
Inflation is expected to average 4.4% this year, significantly higher than the 3.7% forecast in March, while growth forecasts were lowered to 1.2% for 2026.
Borrowers face higher monthly repayments following the rate increase; a family with a R1 million home loan and two cars worth R400,000 will pay an additional R432 monthly.
Up to three more interest rate hikes are foreseen later this year, contingent on the Iran war duration and potential super El Niño risks, as the Reserve Bank reiterates its commitment to the 3% inflation target.