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Social Security COLA 2027 estimate predicts a benefits increase: What to know

AARP said the midpoint estimate would lift average monthly benefits by about $75 and could make 2027 the largest increase since 2023.

  • On Friday, AARP and independent analysts predicted Social Security's 2027 cost-of-living adjustment will reach 3.5% to 3.6%, with an official announcement slated for October 14 affecting nearly 55 million beneficiaries.
  • Persistent inflation, driven largely by President Trump's tariff policies and energy costs following conflict in Iran and closure of the Strait of Hormuz, continues to inflate the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers .
  • "Older Americans are feeling inflation most acutely in groceries, energy, housing and health care," Indivar Dutta-Gupta, a distinguished visiting fellow with the National Academy of Social Insurance, told AARP. Fixed incomes leave seniors little room to absorb rising costs.
  • While higher benefits provide immediate relief, they threaten to accelerate depletion of the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance trust fund, which Trustees project could be exhausted by 2032.
  • If these estimates hold, 2027 will mark the sixth consecutive year of at least 2.5% benefit increases, though TSCL Executive Director Shannon Benton warned that seniors may ultimately remain disappointed regardless of the final figure.
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A new Social Security COLA prediction is out and it’s more bad news for retirees

The official announcement for next year’s COLA will be on Oct. 14.

·Mechanicsburg, United States
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Social Security COLA 2027 estimate predicts a benefits increase: What to know

Social Security recipients are projected to receive a larger cost-of-living adjustment in 2027, according to an early AARP prediction.

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MarketWatch broke the news in New York, United States on Friday, September 11, 2026.
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