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Economy Likely Created 115,000 Jobs in July as Labor Market Loses Momentum

UNITED STATES, AUG 1 – U.S. job growth slowed to an estimated 110,000 new jobs in July as tariff-driven inflation persists and the Federal Reserve maintains interest rates without cuts.

  • In July, U.S. job growth likely slowed, with the unemployment rate forecast rising to 4.2%, but this probably won't prompt the Federal Reserve to cut rates soon.
  • Amid uncertainty over trade duties, President Donald Trump imposed a 35% duty on many goods from Canada, slowing job growth, economists say.
  • The Fed held its rate at 4.25%-4.50%, with Chair Jerome Powell saying, 'You do see a slowing in job creation, but also in a slowing, slowing in the supply of workers.'
  • The July jobs report is unlikely to shake the Fed out of its 'wait-and-see' posture, said Gregory Daco, and financial markets have delayed a September rate cut to October.
  • Economists forecast that in the coming months, job growth will slow well below trend, with tariffs raising inflation and closing the window for policy easing this year.
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With the trade war and the most restrictive immigration measures, unemployment rate in the United States increased by 4.2% in July, with the number of unemployed increased by 221,000.

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CNBC broke the news in United States on Thursday, July 31, 2025.
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