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Minnesota Senate Race Deadlocked with Democrat and Republican, Poll Shows

  • New polling shows Minnesota's Senate race is surprisingly tight, with Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan holding a slight 2-point lead over former sports broadcaster Michele Tafoya within the margin of error.
  • Gov. Tim Walz faces underwater approval ratings at 42/46%, unusual for a sitting governor, while President Donald Trump remains deeply unpopular with 58% disapproval versus 36% approval in the state.
  • Flanagan polls at 40% and Tafoya at 38%, with independent candidate Marisa Simonetti at 4%, other candidates at 3%, and 14% of voters undecided in the closely watched contest.
  • Rep. Ilhan Omar remains unpopular among Minnesota voters, with only 28% viewing her favorably, while 77% say Christian migrants assimilate well versus only 39% for Muslim migrants.
  • Tafoya brings name recognition and a real 'brand' as an outsider from her decades as a sports broadcaster, while the GOP must invest heavily to convince voters Flanagan belongs in the U.S. Senate.
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  • 92% of the sources lean Right
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The Daily Signal broke the news in Washington, United States on Tuesday, September 8, 2026.
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